Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.054783 0.064363 0.075064 0.087896 0.102858 0.119750 0.140261
2025-07-27 0.040186 0.052729 0.068289 0.088977 0.115735 0.149152 0.194040
2025-08-03 0.031870 0.045547 0.063941 0.090416 0.127481 0.177465 0.249942
2025-08-10 0.026814 0.041121 0.061684 0.093272 0.140452 0.208182 0.312681
2025-08-17 0.021657 0.035335 0.056172 0.090058 0.143607 0.224772 0.356923
2025-08-24 0.018412 0.031748 0.053146 0.089747 0.150554 0.247248 0.412335
2025-08-31 0.015696 0.028473 0.049975 0.088496 0.155480 0.266755 0.465108
2025-09-07 0.014029 0.026663 0.048873 0.090383 0.165632 0.295712 0.536857
2025-09-14 0.012238 0.024313 0.046432 0.089464 0.170600 0.316209 0.596282
2025-09-21 0.010573 0.021909 0.043510 0.087165 0.172603 0.331470 0.647882
2025-09-28 0.009127 0.019692 0.040594 0.084401 0.173233 0.344077 0.695789
2025-10-05 0.008392 0.018801 0.040125 0.086349 0.183221 0.375426 0.783397
2025-10-12 0.007590 0.017661 0.039033 0.086959 0.190770 0.403282 0.868369
2025-10-19 0.006886 0.016627 0.038019 0.087600 0.198496 0.432497 0.960008
2025-10-26 0.006322 0.015817 0.037369 0.088930 0.207852 0.466171 1.065226
2025-11-02 0.005923 0.015333 0.037373 0.091721 0.220797 0.509005 1.195592
2025-11-09 0.005187 0.013901 0.034974 0.088556 0.219644 0.520622 1.257388
2025-11-16 0.004712 0.013050 0.033836 0.088250 0.225163 0.547914 1.358511
2025-11-23 0.004242 0.012136 0.032411 0.087019 0.228251 0.569870 1.449625
2025-11-30 0.003977 0.011730 0.032210 0.088874 0.239262 0.611937 1.594499
2025-12-07 0.003612 0.010986 0.031022 0.087971 0.243078 0.636861 1.699753
2025-12-14 0.003231 0.010132 0.029415 0.085709 0.243017 0.652063 1.782091
2025-12-21 0.002876 0.009294 0.027731 0.082990 0.241351 0.662941 1.854472